MLS Weekend Picks and Predictions
Congratulations to Toronto FC for their first MLS win of the season. Thanks to Simon Dawking goal in Kansas City, I finished with record 7–2 in 12th week of my MLS Predictions. Dynamo, RSL, Crew and Rapids all played at home and they are all my favorites and they ALL won their games.
We should see some goals in Washington and Kansas City. I will not be shocked if Chivas USA beat the Sounders. This Memorial Day weekend should be very good for home teams.
I finished last 11th week of my MLS Predictions with even record 5–5 .
My record in 2012 MLS season 71–49 (accuracy 59.16 %).
Predictions are usually published here 16-24 hours before the game time.
Sunday, May 27
Bunbury a bright spot: Making his first start since the season opener, Teal Bunbury scored a pair of goals in Sporting’s 2-2 draw in Colorado. It was the third MLS two-goal game of his career.
Peaked too early? After a seven-game winning streak to open the season, Sporting have now gone four games without a victory. Kansas City has not won in the month of May since the 2009 season, now 13 May matches without a win.
San Jose searching for a KC “W”: In the first meeting ever at LIVESTRONG Sporting Park, Sporting Kansas City extended their home winning streak against San Jose to six games, a 1-0 victory last June 17. The Quakes last won in Kansas City in 2004.
Earthquakes showed in Los Angeles on Wednesday, they play to the end and they can beat anybody anywhere, but fresh Sporting at home could be too much. Especially when Quakes will play without Chris Wondolowski (USMNT team call), and suspended for yellow cards another forward Steven Lenhart. As longest Marvin Chavez is healthy, Quakes going to be dangerous. I will go with OVER because I am Quakes fan, but objectively speaking I really believe that fresh Sporting KC team should be able to get 3 points a home.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals
Saturday, May 26
MLS Cup mavens: Of the last seven MLS Cup Finals, the Galaxy or Dynamo have played in five – the Galaxy in 2005, 2009 and 2011, and the Dynamo in 2006, 2007 and 2011, with the clubs meeting at last year’s championship to a 1-0 LA win.
Clutch Camargo: Luiz Camargo scored his first goal since coming to MLS to give the Dynamo a 2-2 draw in New England last Saturday, extending their unbeaten streak to three games. The Dynamo have yet to concede a goal at BBVA Compass Stadium. [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JL6mwxZcAZg[/youtube]
Here’s a head-scratcher: The Galaxy saw their winless streak reach five games in the 1-0 loss to Chivas USA – matching the 2011 MLS Cup winners’ longest over the last five seasons.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeByMiJQrJI[/youtube]
Galaxy without Landon Donovan and Robbie Keane, plus without suspended for red card Hector Jimenez, pretty much have no chance in Houston. Bruce Arena’s team has all the rights to be frustrated, disappointed and TIRED after their Wednesday home loss to the Earthquakes. Galaxy from 2-0 lead in 75th minute, managed to loose 2-3 and that must be devastating for them.
Dominic Kinnear as coach is too smart not to capitalize on the struggling shorthanded MLS Champs. Dynamo really need points and they should take advantage of Galaxy midweek game.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Dynamo to WIN
Missing ingredient: Toronto FC is the only club not to score first in a match this season. League-wide, the club that lead initially is a collective 68-18-15 (.822).
When will the “W” come? Toronto FC’s nine-game losing streak is tied for fourth-longest in the MLS annals. The MLS record for a losing streak is 12 in a row, set in 1999 by the MetroStars. The first nine of those losses were in regulation time. The MLS record for consecutive losses in regulation time is 10, set in 2005 by Real Salt Lake.
Zac’s back-up shines: Making his first career MLS appearance – and barely able to stand by game’s end – Union goalkeeper Chase Harrison backstopped his team’s 1-1 draw with FC Dallas last weekend.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RAl1XXvwTsc[/youtube]
One of the most tricky game of the weekend. Toronto managed to win Canadian Championship on Wednesday. TFC beat WhiteCaps 1-0, but don’t you think they going to be tired? Last year Union visit at BMO Field was brutal to TFC, Philadelphia team won 6-2. I don’t believe in TFC success on Saturday. Fresh Union team going to be ready for challenge. If I have to pick the winner here I would go with the Union, but also expect some goals in this match, I mean at least 3.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals
Start of a streak? After going into his second professional season without a goal, Crew striker Justin Meram made it 3 goals in 3 games, netting the opener in the 1-1 draw with San Jose and scoring in Seattle.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJKSFFa_BRs[/youtube]
Gritty Grunebaum: Crew goalkeeper Andy Gruenebaum is in amazing form, he was credited with seven saves in the draw with San Jose, matching his career-high set earlier this season (May 5 vs. Portland).
Crew blues: The Fire have won their last three meetings with the Crew, including a 1-0 win last year in Columbus, and a 3-2 victory at Toyota Park. The Crew have not won in Bridgeview since 2006 (seven visits).
As I said a week ago the Crew playing much better than their record shows. In last 2 games they visited 2 top teams from the western conference and they got 4 points from that trip. Actually Alan Gordon last minute equalizer in San Jose, was a bummer for the Crew, because they almost beat the Earthquakes. Young forward Justin Meram is just red hot, he scored 3 goals i last 3 games. Last time striker did that in MLS it was Chris Wondolowski – rest is history. Last year Fire escape with last minute victory at Crew Stadium, but this time Columbus team is in really good form and they are my favorite to win.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Crew to WIN
Cozy Confines: D.C. United are riding a seven match unbeaten streak at RFK Stadium, having not lost at home since their season opener on March 10 against Sporting Kansas City. The streak is the longest of any club in the league this season.
De Ro putting on a show: With his two goals against Toronto FC, Dwayne De Rosario now has five goals this year – all in the last six games. In 32 games since coming to D.C. United, De Rosario has 18 goals and 14 assists and is two goals shy from 100 regular season goals, which would make him only the seventh MLS player to achieve this feat.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LyRePbf540E[/youtube]
Superb Sene: Saer Sene hit for his second two-goal game of the season in the Revolution’s 2-2 draw with Houston. Sene has four goals in the last four games.
I am not sold on Revolution as of yet, but sure they seem to find a way to score and they probably will score in Washington, but they will not win the game. 2-1 United is my prediction for the final score, but I am even more confident that we will see more than 2 goals at RFK.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals
Blas is back: Blas Perez netted his fourth goal of the season in the 1-1 draw with Philadelphia, his first in more than a month after starting his MLS career with three goals in six games.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MmZqUOMQQLE[/youtube]
Dallas dominates: Real Salt Lake have still never won in Dallas. FCD is 8-0-2 all-time in league games between the clubs, and have also won a game in the MLS Cup Playoffs (in 2010) and a U.S. Open Cup quarterfinal (last year). Their final two meetings this year are in Utah – where FCD has not won since 2007.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9sF7jiJKvzM[/youtube]
FC Dallas will have Zach Loyd back, but RSL will play without Kyle Beckerman (USMNT call). Regardless of the absences, RSL are deeper and better organized team, and they are my heavy favorite at home.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 RSL to WIN
Fouling to fame: Colorado midfielder Brian Mullan and Tyrone Marshall are in a heated race to be whistled for more fouls than any other player in the history of MLS. Mullan and Marshall currently sit seventh and ninth, respectively, on the all-time leader list. Both would need to commit a little over 1.5 fouls per match for the rest of the season to surpass current Montreal Manager Jesse Marsch’s all-time MLS record of 477 career fouls.
PK-happy: Bernardo Corradi scored his fourth goal – all in the last six games – in the Impact’s 2-1 home loss to the New York Red Bulls on Saturday. It was the Impact’s fourth penalty kick this season – most in MLS – also all coming in the last six games.
Rapids are inconsistent, but they playing at home and they sure will try to take advantage of DSG geographic location. It’s about time for 3 points for the Rapids and Montreal Impact in their last game looked like they are loosing something. They not going to find anything good for them in Colorado. Rapids to win.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Rapids to WIN
Sensational strikes: For the second time in four games, Whitecaps FC scored a free kick that seemingly went untouched through the goalmouth and settled in the back of the net. Camilo did it vs. Seattle; Young-Pyo Lee scored that way vs. Columbus on April 28.
Goals while the going’s good: Eric Brunner’s goal against Chicago was the first scored by a Timbers player since April 14, a span of five games. In between, Portland had scored once – an own goal by Sporting KC (for a 1-0 win).
Expansion sophs’ series: The Timbers won both meetings of the MLS expansion class of 2011 last year, a 2-1 victory at Jeld-Wen Field and a 1-0 triumph at BC Place.
On Wednesday Whitecaps lost 0-1 in Canadian Championship final to Toronto FC, so after the game they have to travel across the continent to Portland. Timbers on the other hand played friendly match against Spanish team Valencia. This could be close game, but home field and enthusiastic crowd give edge to Timbers and makes me believe, they are capable to win.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Timbers WIN
Finally, a Home Depot win: Chivas USA are coming off their first win this season at The Home Depot Center – the first victory against in-stadium rivals LA Galaxy since 2008, a 1-0 result in the first SuperClásico. Chivas started the season 0-5-0 in home games, but they beat Galaxy 1-0 last Saturday.[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NpaNrBcajj0[/youtube]
Still stingy on D: Sounders FC conceded more than one goal in a game for the first time this season in the 2-2 draw at Vancouver, but they also allowed 2 goal to the Crew on Wednesday. Yet, they have still allowed just six goals over the course of the season, good for the fewest in MLS.
Sounders have been stunned by Columbus Crew on Wednesday, they lost 0-2 and had a huge problem creating chances. Chivas USA defense and offense got some new players, which automatically increase competition for the starting positions, so team play better. It may sound too optimistic, but I would not bet against The Goats in this one. Chivas USA have good chance to win, but I would say UNDER should be safer pick.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION UNDER 2.5 goals
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CHRIS’s PICKS in 2012 season 71–49 (accuracy 59.17 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.
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CHRIS’s PICKS in 2011 season 159–142 (accuracy 52.82 %)
CHRIS’s PICKS in 2010 season 97–82 in entire 2010 MLS season (accuracy 54.19 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.
MLS Eastern Conference end of 2012
Pos Team GP Pts W D L Goals HOME AWAY LAST 5 O / U 2.5 LAST 5
1 Sporting Kansas City 34 63 18 9 7 42-27 10-4-3 8-5-4 WDDWD 14-20 OUUUU
2 D.C. United 34 58 17 7 10 53-43 12-4-1 5-3-9 DWWDW 16-18 UOUUU
3 New York Red Bulls 34 57 16 9 9 57-46 11-4-2 5-5-7 WDWDL 18-16 OUUOU
4 Chicago Fire 34 57 17 6 11 46-41 11-3-3 6-3-8 DLWLL 17-17 UUUOU
5 Houston Dynamo 34 53 14 11 9 48-41 11-6-0 3-5-9 LWDWL 16-18 UOUUO
6 Columbus CREW 34 52 15 7 12 44-44 11-3-3 4-4-9 WLDWL 18-16 OOUOO
7 Montreal Impact 34 42 12 6 16 45-51 10-3-4 2-3-12 LDDDL 20-14 UUUUO
8 Philadelphia Union 34 36 10 6 18 37-45 7-2-8 3-4-10 LWLWW 18-16 OOOUO
9 NE Revolution 34 35 9 8 17 39-44 7-6-4 2-2-13 WWLLL 16-18 UUUUO
10 Toronto FC 34 22 5 8 21 36-62 3-5-9 2-3-12 LDLLL 19-15 OUUOO
MLS Western Conference end of 2012
Pos Team GP Pts W D L Goals HOME AWAY LAST 5 O / U 2.5 LAST 5
1 San Jose Earthquakes 34 66 19 9 6 72-43 10-6-1 9-3-5 DDWDW 25-9 UOOOO
2 Real Salt Lake 34 57 17 6 11 46-35 11-2-4 6-4-7 DDWWW 18-16 UUOOO
3 Seattle Sounders FC 34 56 15 11 8 51-33 11-2-4 4-9-4 LWDWD 16-18 UOUOU
4 Los Angeles Galaxy 34 54 16 6 12 59-47 11-1-6 5-5-6 WDLDW 19-15 UOOUO
5 Vancouver WhiteCaps 34 43 11 10 13 35-41 8-6-3 3-4-10 DLWDD 17-17 UUOUO
6 FC Dallas 34 39 9 12 13 42-47 6-8-3 3-4-10 DLDDW 14-20 OOUOU
7 Colorado Rapids 34 37 11 4 19 44-50 9-3-6 2-1-13 WWLDD 18-16 UOOUO
8 Portland Timbers FC 34 34 8 10 16 34-56 7-6-4 1-4-12 DWLDL 18-16 UUOUO
9 Chivas USA 34 30 7 9 18 24-59 3-3-11 4-6-7 DLDLL 13-21 OUUOO
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