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MLS Weekend 18 – Preview, Picks and Predictions

MLS Weekend Picks and Predictions 

We should have very entertaining weekend in MLS, especially for fans in Seattle, Salt Lake, Chicago and Columbus – all 4 teams are my favorites to win their matches. We should also see goals at Foxboro and PPL Park and a few low scoring matches. Weekend results should help me recover losses from midweek games, because I started 18th week of  my MLS Predictions with record 25

My record in 2012 MLS season 8461 (accuracy 57.93 %).

Predictions are usually published here 16-24 hours before the game  time.

(Home team listed first; all times Eastern)

Saturday, July 7

Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo, 8 p.m.

Costly Loss: This is the first meeting between these two clubs since Houston eliminated SKC in the 2011 Eastern Conference Finals. Second half goals from Andre Hainault and Carlos Costly ended Sporting’s playoff run and secured the Dynamo their third MLS Cup appearance.

Bunbury Brace: Sporting KC forward Teal Bunbury tallied two goals in the last regular season meeting between the two sides, a 3-0 victory on September 10, 2011. For his career Bunbury has three goals in four matches against the Dynamo.

Dynamo Doubt: In league play, Sporting have a three-game unbeaten streak alive vs. Houston, winning their last two meetings in Kansas City.
Ching for the Win: Brian Ching scored his first goal in BBVA Compass Stadium, converting a penalty kick to give the Dynamo their 2-1 win vs. Philadelphia last weekend.

Is Sporting catching again their form from the beginning of the season? Or win in Montreal was just a exposure of Impact weakness? We will learn on Saturday, but Dynamo defending is much better than Impact has and Sporting also not conceding many goals. I have feeling that we will see low scoring affair in KC.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION UNDER 2.5 goals

FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes, 9 p.m.

Veteran Moves: The last man still standing from the MLS inaugural season of 1996, San Jose’s Ramiro Corrales, has three assists in four games after setting up a goal in the 4-3 win vs. LA. Corrales has 14 goals and 43 assists in 286 league games in his MLS career.

Wondo-ful Performance – After failing to find the back of the net in his first 10 matches against FC Dallas, Chris Wondolowski has scored three times in San Jose’s last two meetings with the hoops.
Scoring 4 – The last time these two teams played each other was October 22, 2011 when the Earthquake exploded with four goals in a twelve minute span to win 4-2.

A Yallop-ing Pace: A Frank Yallop managed squad has never lost to a Dallas team when scoring first. Since 2001 with the Earthquakes and Galaxy, Yallop has coached his teams to a 10-0-1 record when opening the match’s scoring against FCD.

No record stays forever, if Timbers can beat the Earthquakes, so can FC Dallas, but this could be too much for ambitious Texans. FC Dallas team specializes in draws (6 this season) and this is likely what we will see on the scoreboard after final whistle. 0-0 or 1-1 is expected result. Both teams played midweek games, Earthquakes traveled to Portland and now to Texas, they have all the rights to be tired. In addition at Pizza Hut Park in Frisco game time temperature should be around 100 degrees, with about 20 % chance for thunderstorm. In the heat, game is usually slower, and after midweek matches both teams will run out of gas. All the signals suggesting low scoring game.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION UNDER 2.5 goals

Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers, 9 p.m.

Drifting Away: Portland is one of two MLS clubs (FC Dallas) still in search of that first elusive road victory. This is not unfamiliar territory for the Timbers- last season their first road win did not come until July 16 and they only collected one more the rest of the season. They have scored just two goals in seven road matches this season.

Tough on Troy: In eight career attempts, Timbers goalkeeper Troy Perkins has yet to record a clean sheet against Real Salt Lake. With D.C. and Portland, Perkins has allowed 11 goals (1.38 GAA) against RSL since 2005.

Rough Trip: The Timbers have been shut out in four consecutive games away from Jeld-Wen Field. Their last road goal came April 14 in a 3-1 loss at the LA Galaxy, now 427 minutes without scoring.

Clutch Scoring: Real won the first meeting between the clubs this season in a thriller, Jonny Steele scoring in the 89th minute then Kyle Beckerman hitting for the winner in stoppage time in a 3-2 RSL victory, March 31 in Portland.

Last Wednesday RSL tied scoreless with Sounders at Rio Tinto, and Utah team is very disappointed, because they extended their winless strike to 4 games. Timbers got their confidence back after beating 2-1 top MLS team the Earthquakes last Tuesday, but Portland team has difficulties on the road. Timbers are winless away from home this season, and RSL should take advantage of that and finally win. It’s about time guys.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 RSL to WIN

Chivas USA vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC, 10:30 p.m.

Back on Track: Chivas USA are playing for the first time since a scoreless draw June 23 with FC Dallas. The rojiblancos have lost just once in their last seven games.

On The Road Again: The game at Chivas USA is the third in a five-game road swing for Whitecaps FC. They will not play again at BC Place until July 18, when they meet the LA Galaxy.

DeMerit Dominance: A goal from Whitecaps FC center back Jay DeMerit gave his club a 1-0 win in the first meeting between the teams this season, March 17 at The Home Depot Center. It was the first victory by either team in the all-time series.

Invading HDC – The Vancouver Whitecaps won their first franchise away game earlier this season against Chivas USA.

Whitecaps are strong and powerful, they have their solid defense and dangerous, unpredictable offense. Defensive order it’s a main reason why the Whitecaps are high (3rd on the west) in the standings. Regardless of the recent acquisitions I am still not convinced to Chivas USA offense, so do not expect many goals at Home Depot Center this Saturday.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION UNDER 2.5 goals

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids, 11 p.m. (NBC SN)

Sound Defeats: Sounders FC likely has dates with the Rapids circled on their calendar- since joining the league in 2009, Seattle has gone 5-1-1 against Colorado. Defender Zach Scott was the lone goalscorer in this year’s first meeting, a 1-0 victory for the Rave Green.

Great Scott! – Sounders unlikely hero Zach Scott went 2,048 minutes in the MLS without a goal before he headed in the game winner against the Colorado Rapids on in their last match on April 14.

Sound Control: Sounders FC have won the last four meetings between the clubs. Colorado’s only victory in seven all-time league meetings came May 29, 2010 at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park.

Wild Wild West – For the Colorado Rapids, since on June 30, 12 of their 13 opponents are Western Conference foes.

Fans in Seattle already forgot when their Sounders won last time in MLS.
Sounders are successful and perfect in their last 3 U.S. Open Cup games, but in MLS last time they won was almost 2 months ago on the road with FC Dallas. Sounders are my biggest favorite of the weekend, they are over motivated and finally they playing at home vs weak opponent. About time for Sounders to cash 3 points.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Sounders to WIN

Sunday, July 8

Chicago Fire vs. LA Galaxy, 3 p.m. (ESPN/Deportes)

Shooting Star: Landon Donovan scored for a third consecutive match in the 4-3 loss to the San Jose Earthquakes at Stanford Stadium, with four goals (and two assists) in that time.

En Fuego against Fire: LA’s Landon Donovan has registered a goal or an assist in nine of his last eleven matches against Chicago. Since August 13, 2005, Donovan has collected eight goals and three assists when lining up against the Fire.

Fire Extinguished: The Galaxy have come away with points on their last three visits to Toyota Park, including a 2-1 win last April 17, and a 2-0 win in 2009. The Fire have won just one of the last six meetings between the clubs.

Open Galaxy: The Galaxy has surrendered 27 goals in 17 MLS games, half a season. Last year they gave up 28 goals for the full 34-game campaign.

Chicago Fire team is hot and Galaxy are not. Galaxy loss to Philadelphia Union last Wednesday was one of the biggest upsets of the season. Bruce Arena has short memory and should be able to make some corrections, but I seriously don’t think that Galaxy have chances to win in Bridgeview. Fire should be able to take care of business at home.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Fire to WIN

Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC, 4 p.m.

Dramatic Fashion – When they last met, Toronto FC and the Chicago Fire Danny Koevermans hammered home a shot in the 88th minute as TFC defeated the Philadelphia Union 1-0 at BMO Field.

Frings Feeling It: Four days after netting his first goal of the season, Torsten Frings contributed his first assist of 2012, setting up Danny Koevermans with a corner kick in the 1-1 draw vs. New York last weekend.

Comeback for Backary: The Union are expected to have newly signed center back Bakary Soumare available for the TFC match, as he continues to regain fitness following knee surgery. Soumare, the 2008 MLS Defender of the Year with Chicago, was signed after playing the last four seasons in Europe.

Union got their 3 points on the road in Los Angeles, but what is more important they scored 2 goals vs MLS champs. I am expecting tough game to watch at PPL Park, but we should see some goals there.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

New England Revolution vs. New York Red Bulls, 7 p.m. (Galavision)

TH14: The teams are meeting for the second time this season. A Thierry Henry goal after just seven minutes stood up the rest of the way for a Red Bulls victory April 28 at Red Bull Arena, their seven straight home meeting vs. New England without defeat.

Solli Smokin Hot: After going 42 MLS league games without scoring a goal, the Red Bulls’ Jan Gunnar Solli now has two in two games, scoring in the 1-1 draw with Toronto FC last weekend.

Sire Sene: New England forward Saer Sene has made the largest contribution to his club’s home scoring than any other play in MLS this season. The Frenchman has scored six of the Revolution’s 14 goals at Gillette Stadium in 2012 (43%).

Come Back Kids: The Revolution have come back to tie games in the 94th minute in back-to-back contests, after Diego Fagundez scored to give them a 2-2 draw with Seattle on Saturday.

Red Bulls are obvious favorites, but also expect goals in this game, at least 3 of them.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

Montreal Impact vs. Columbus Crew, 7:30 p.m.

Bruising Crew: The teams are meeting for the second time. Goals from Milovan Mirosevic and Olman Vargas on either side of halftime gave the Crew a 2-0 win in Columbus on March 24.

Tchani on a Tear: Tony Tchani scored for the second consecutive game to send the Crew on their way in their 2-0 win against Real Salt Lake last weekend.

Good Looks: Chris Birchall has assists in back-to-back games, his first two starts with the Crew. Birchall signed with the club this season after winning MLS Cup with the LA Galaxy last year.

Gruenebaum the Bomb– Columbus Crew goaltender Andy Gruenebaum is currently ranked second in the league in saves with 59.

Impact signed former AC Milan and Italian international, 2006 world champion Alessandro Nesta this week, but that was last positive news from Montreal this weekend. Due to working visa process, we unlikely to see Nesta on the pitch vs Crew, but coach Robert Warzycha and Columbus team went to Montreal to take full advantage of struggling opponent. Despite playing on the road, fresh (no midweek game) Crew team is my favorite this Sunday.

CHRIS’ PREDICTION 2 Crew to WIN

For LIVE time MLS updates follow me on TWITTER at @ChrisReiko

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2012 season 8461 (accuracy 57.93 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.

If you have some info, tips or news that you think can influence any of MLS games results CONTACT US

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2011 season 159142 (accuracy 52.82 %)

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2010 season 9782 in entire 2010 MLS season (accuracy 54.19 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.

2016 MLS Eastern Conference

PosTeamGPPtsWDLGoalsHOMEAWAYLAST 5O / U LAST 5
1NY Red Bulls3457169961-4414-2-23-7-7WWWWD18-16OOOUO
2New York City FC34541591062-578-6-37-2-8WLWWD22-12OOUOO
3Toronto FC34531411951-398-6-26-5-7WDDDD16-18OOOUU
4D.C. United344611131053-479-4-42-9-6LWWWW17-17OOOOO
5Montreal Impact344511121149-537-5-54-7-6LDWWL18-16OOUOU
6Philadelphia Union34421191452-558-4-53-5-9LLLDL21-13UUOUO
7NE Revolution34421191444-549-4-42-5-10WLWLW19-15OOOUO
8Orlando City SC34419141155-606-7-43-7-7WWLDL25-9OUUUO
9Columbus Crew34368121450-586-8-32-4-11LLDWL20-14OOOOO
10Chicago Fire34317101742-586-8-31-2-14LWDLL20-14OOOOU

2016 MLS Western Conference

PosTeamGPPtsWDLGoalsHOMEAWAYLAST 5O / U LAST 5
1FC Dallas3460179850-4012-4-15-5-7DWWDD17-17UOUUO
2Colorado Rapids34581513639-3211-6-04-7-6DLWWW11-23UUOOU
3Los Angeles Galaxy34521216654-398-8-14-8-5DWDLD15-19UUUOO
4Seattle Sounders FC34481461444-4310-2-54-4-9WLDWW16-18OOUOU
5Sporting Kansas City34471381342-4110-3-43-5-9WDLWD17-17OUOOO
6Real Salt Lake344512101244-468-8-14-2-11LDLDL18-16OUOUU
7Portland Timbers FC34441281448-5312-2-30-6-11LWLLW22-12OUUOO
8 Vancouver WhiteCaps34391091545-526-6-54-3-10WDLDL19-15OUOOU
9San Jose Earthquakes34388141232-407-7-31-7-9LDLWL13-21UUOOO
10Houston Dynamo34347131439-455-8-52-5-8DLDLL11-23OUUOU

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One comment on “MLS Weekend 18 – Preview, Picks and Predictions

  1. Very good picks, and helpful analysis.

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