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MLS Weekend 25 – Preview, Picks and Predictions

MLS Weekend 25 – Preview, Picks and Predictions


MLS Weekend Picks and Predictions

Just finished weekend with 8-3 record after 11 games in 25th week of my MLS predictions.

Last 24th weekend of MLS predictions finished with 9-3 record.

2012 MLS season record 139-93 (accuracy 59.91 % ).

Predictions are usually published here at least 6-8 hours before the game time.

(Home team listed first; all times Eastern)

Sunday, August 26

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. FC Dallas 2-0

The Tops: FC Dallas’ fifth-ever homegrown player signing, Jonathan Top, scored his first MLS goal in the club’s 2-0 win over Vancouver Whitecaps FC on August 15.

Galaxy Givers: MLS assists co-leader Landon Donovan is one match-winning helper away from tying former Galaxy teammate Cobi Jones for third-place on the all-time list.

Castillo All Class: Fabian Castillo netted a goal for a third consecutive game – all FC Dallas victories, the club’s longest winning streak this season.

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‘Keane’ on Scoring: Robbie Keane struck the back of the net for a second consecutive match and the seventh time in the last eight games in the Galaxy’s last league fixture, a 1-1 draw at Columbus on August 15.

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From entertaining point of view this could be game of the weekend, because both teams are in good form, both scoring goals and we should see quality game. FC Dallas are one of the hottest teams in MLS, beginning their road swing with back-to-back wins at Vancouver and Real Salt Lake, now sitting five points out of the final playoff spot.

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It’s clear that FC Dallas motivation is high and they know that in order for them to seriously think about playoffs they need to get result on Sunday. FC Dallas looked really good in last few games and I can see they can get the result in LA, draw or visitors win seem to be safe pick, but also we should see some goals. 

CHRIS’ PREDICTION X2 Draw or FC Dallas WIN

Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls 1-1 

Back in the KC Groove: Graham Zusi’s recorded his third assist in four games – setting up Kei Kamara’s ninth goal of the season – to lead Sporting to a 1-0 win at Toronto FC on Saturday. The three-game winning run is their longest since Sporting opened the season with seven consecutive victories.

Second Half Performer: The Red Bulls lead MLS in most goals allowed in the first 45 minutes of play (21), and yet hold a strong second place in the Supporters’ Shield race.

DefendSTRONG: Sporting Kansas City have only allowed, on average, 0.67 goals per game at home, the second-lowest mark in MLS.

Starting Strong: The Red Bulls’ newest Designated Player, Australian international Tim Cahill, scored his first MLS goal in the 3-2 win Sunday against Portland. Cahill has a goal and two assists in three MLS appearances.

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Sporting as hosting team should be a favorite in this clash of Eastern Conference powerhouses. Red Bulls are not very impressive on the road and Kansas City is not easy place to play. Yes, Red Bulls have theirs quality offense and Sporting defensive formation facing serious test, but they should be able to handle it.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Sporting to WIN

Saturday, August 25

Montreal Impact vs. D.C. United 3-0

Mind the Gap: On average, United concede 0.99 more goals per game on the road than they do at home, the largest discrepancy in all of MLS.

Playoff Implications: The teams enter the week just a single point apart, with United holding fifth place and the final postseason berth ahead of the Impact.

Gaining Ground: The Impact have won four consecutive games, the longest in their expansion MLS season and tied for the fifth-longest in MLS this season.

This could be very interesting game, both teams scored total 7 goals in their respective last games, both defensive lines are not at their best. Obviously I am expecting at least 3 goals.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

Columbus Crew vs. New England Revolution 4-3

Hard-Luck Revs: In 14 one-goal games this season, New England has lost 12 times, the lowest mark in MLS.

Delightful Debut: Crew Designated Player Federico Higuain made his MLS debut in Sunday’s 2-2 draw with Houston, coming on as a halftime substitute and recording his first assist on the Crew’s second goal.

Clever Crew: The Revolution’s last win in the series came Oct. 25, 2009 at Crew Stadium, a 1-0 win. The Crew have come away with points on their last six trips to Gillette Stadium.

The Crew team is in great form and their new signing Federico Higuain has made immediate impact on their offensive game. Everything other than their sure Crew win should be conceder as big upset.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Crew WIN

Houston Dynamo vs. Toronto FC 1-1

Fortified Foundation: An away team has yet to take away three points from a BBVA Compass Stadium visit.

Seeing Red: Rookie Luis Silva has three goals and two assists for Toronto FC in the last MLS seven matches.

Words With Friends: After texting Crew goalkeeper (and former teammate) Andy Gruenebaum that he would score on him, Dynamo midfielder Adam Moffat did just that, notching the tying goal in the 2-2 draw with Columbus on Sunday.

Not in Our House: The Dynamo extended their home unbeaten streak to 20 games in the draw, the third-longest stretch in MLS league play. The all-time record is 29 home games unbeaten, held by Real Salt Lake.

Dynamo tied their last MLS game at home vs Crew, but on Wednesday in El Salvador dominated once again and came back with easy 3-1 win. I don’t give Toronto FC many chances even for draw in Houston.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Dynamo to WIN

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Colorado Rapids 4-1

Go Big or Go Home: In 25 games this season, the Rapids have only two ties, the lowest amount of draws in MLS 2012.

Whenever, Wherever: The Earthquakes rank first in MLS in home goals-scored average (2.33/game) and second in road goals-scored average (1.54/game).

Feeling the Aftershocks: The Rapids have won just once in their last eight home games against San Jose. That win came August 7, 2010; the teams will meet October 6 in Commerce City.

The Earthquakes going to play without their 3 key players and this could be challenging for favorites from Silicon Valley. Especially Earthquakes defensive line will be tested by Rapids offence. I will not pick the winner here, because really this game can go either way, but I am confident that we will see at least 3 goals at Buck Shaw stadium.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

Portland Timbers vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2-1

Setbacks: Whitecaps FC have suffered back-to-back shutout losses for the first time this season. They were shut out in consecutive games once previously: March 24-31, coming away with a scoreless draw in each match.

Road Warrior: Darlington Nagbe has netted three of the Timbers’ six away goals this season.

Expansion Kings: Vancouver has yet to defeat Portland in MLS play. The Timbers won both meetings of the MLS expansion class of 2011 last year, a 2-1 victory at Jeld-Wen Field and a 1-0 triumph at BC Place.

Timbers recently started scoring some goals when not many expected, so they probably net some in Portland as well, but I am more confident in 3 goals in this game instead Timbers win. Whitecaps are not very convincing lately, and lets be real Timbers are not as bad to be winless for so long.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

Chivas USA vs. Seattle Sounders FC 2-6

Superb Sub: Fredy Montero has notched six goals and two assists in 10 career MLS games off of the bench, the most recent one being the go-ahead goal against Vancouver Whitecaps FC on Saturday.

Road Blocks: Chivas USA is one of only two clubs—the other being the Columbus Crew—that, on average, has conceded less goals on the road than at home.

Tag Team: Fredy Montero and Eddie Johnson have each scored four goals over the past six league games; the pair has combined for 19 goals total this season.

Sounders are my favorites and they should be able to win at The Home Depot Center, but because they have tendency to draw the winnable games, so their win I will support with a draw.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION X2 Draw or Sounders WIN

Friday, August 24

Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake 0-0

First Strike Has Last Laugh: Real Salt Lake is 11-1-0 in league play when scoring the first goal, a winning percentage that trails only Seattle Sounders FC and the Chicago Fire, respectively.

Claret-and-Cobalt Cooling Off: RSL has lost three consecutive MLS games, matching their season-long losing streak (also June 20-30). Those losing streaks are the club’s longest since July 4-28, 2007, when the club lost four in a row just a couple of months after head coach Jason Kreis took over.

Resourceful RSL: Real are undefeated all-time against the Union. RSL has won two of the four meetings between the clubs, both at Rio Tinto Stadium; the teams have played to two draws at PPL Park.

Savvy Sabó: Real striker Álvaro Sabório continued his hot streak, scoring his seventh goal over the last seven games in the club’s 2-1 loss to FC Dallas. Sabório is tied for second in the MLS Golden Boot standings with 14 goals.

Both teams looking to turn around recent form on Friday night nationally televised match on NBC Sports Network. Union stopped a two-game losing slide last weekend, holding out for a 1-1 draw at D.C. United, but their result came from missed penalty otherwise they should be defeated. Union are still 16 points out of a playoff berth, and lets be honest they have no chance for 2012 MLS playoffs. Real have lost three league games including 1-2 home loss to FC Dallas last weekend, though they won in the CONCACAF Champions League at midweek. Real is way more organized and at least on the paper looks like much better side, than their opponent from Philadelphia.

Very possible under 2.5 goals here, but I will not bet against RSL in this match.

CHRIS’ PREDICTION X2 Draw or RSL to WIN

Wednesday, August 22

Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC 2-1

Tough Breaks: In 14 all-time meetings between the teams, Toronto FC have won just once — a 4-2 victory last September 10 at Columbus Crew Stadium, snapping a 12-game winless run vs. Columbus.

Winless in Toronto: Toronto FC saw their winless streak stretched to four games in the club’s 1-0 loss to Sporting Kansas City last weekend.

The Crew played really well in their last two games against Galaxy (1-1 at home) and in Houston where they ended with unlucky draw, leading in second half. Struggling Toronto FC seem to be dream opponent for Columbus Crew to get 3 points.

It will be really shocking if the Crew don’t win this match.
CHRIS’ PREDICTION 1 Crew WIN

D.C. United vs. Chicago Fire 4-2 

Press ‘Pause’: The Fire are 49-44-20 all-time when the club’s captain is not available for play. Current skipper Logan Pause is out for 4-6 weeks after sustaining an injury on August 12.

Burned: D.C. United have not defeated the Chicago Fire since a 1-0 win at Toyota Park on Aug. 29, 2009. The Fire have won two of the four meetings since, with two draws.

Spreading the Wealth: Twelve different players on the Fire have tallied goals this MLS season while 10 different players have struck the back of the net for United.

D.C. United team a must be very disappointed after their 1-1 draw vs Union at home last Sunday. Yes, it was close for DCU to win, but Dwayne De Rosario missed penalty made also some internal conflicts especially in defensive line. This is never good, especially when 3 days later you facing one of the hottest teams in MLS. Draw or Chicago Fire win is probably good pick, but I think we should see more than 2 goals at RFK Stadium today.

CHRIS’ PREDICTION OVER 2.5 goals

For LIVE time MLS updates follow me on TWITTER at @ChrisReiko

25th week 8-3

24th week 9-3

23th week 4-4

22nd week 4-4

21th week  3-6

20th week 9-6

19th week  6-3

18th week  8-8 

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2012 season 139-93 (accuracy 59.91 % ) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.If you have some info, tips or news that you think can influence any of MLS games results CONTACT US

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2011 season 159-142 (accuracy 52.82 %)

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2010 season 97-82 in entire 2010 MLS season (accuracy 54.19 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.

MLS Eastern Conference end of 2012

PosTeamGPPtsWDLGoalsHOMEAWAYLAST 5O / U 2.5 LAST 5
1Sporting Kansas City3463189742-2710-4-38-5-4WDDWD14-20OUUUU
2D.C. United34581771053-4312-4-15-3-9DWWDW16-18UOUUU
3New York Red Bulls3457169957-4611-4-25-5-7WDWDL18-16OUUOU
4Chicago Fire34571761146-4111-3-36-3-8DLWLL17-17UUUOU
5Houston Dynamo34531411948-4111-6-03-5-9LWDWL16-18UOUUO
6Columbus CREW34521571244-4411-3-34-4-9WLDWL18-16OOUOO
7Montreal Impact34421261645-5110-3-42-3-12LDDDL20-14UUUUO
8Philadelphia Union34361061837-457-2-83-4-10LWLWW18-16OOOUO
9NE Revolution3435981739-447-6-42-2-13WWLLL16-18UUUUO
10Toronto FC3422582136-623-5-92-3-12LDLLL19-15OUUOO

MLS Western Conference end of 2012

PosTeamGPPtsWDLGoalsHOMEAWAYLAST 5O / U 2.5LAST 5
1San Jose Earthquakes3466199672-4310-6-19-3-5DDWDW25-9UOOOO
2Real Salt Lake34571761146-3511-2-46-4-7DDWWW18-16UUOOO
3Seattle Sounders FC34561511851-3311-2-44-9-4LWDWD16-18UOUOU
4Los Angeles Galaxy34541661259-4711-1-65-5-6WDLDW19-15UOOUO
5Vancouver WhiteCaps344311101335-418-6-33-4-10DLWDD17-17UUOUO
6FC Dallas34399121342-476-8-33-4-10DLDDW14-20OOUOU
7Colorado Rapids34371141944-509-3-62-1-13WWLDD18-16UOOUO
8Portland Timbers FC34348101634-567-6-41-4-12DWLDL18-16UUOUO
9Chivas USA3430791824-593-3-114-6-7DLDLL13-21OUUOO

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