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MLS Week 5 Preview, Picks and Predictions

MLS Week 5 Preview, Picks and Predictions

5th weekend of the season in MLS action, is loaded with many attractive matchups.
Rematch for last year MLS Cup in Kansas City, where Sporting hosting Real Salt Lake is just one of the highlights.  The red hot Crew will test Toronto FC new signings, Sounders visiting Portland, and winless Timbers can’t wait, not for them, but to get finally 3 points. Texas Derby in Houston, as always look very promising, and finally on Sunday we have also SuperClasico in LA, where Chivas USA hosting Galaxy.
I’m not even 35% in my accuracy this season, but I have been their before. I’m not blaming my self for my predictions, but the players, and often referees, most of the time is their fault. 🙂
However, despite poor start of the campaign, I’m confident trough the season, I should be able to get back to over 50%.

The WhiteCaps and Crew my only real favorites to win their matches, in other games we should have at least a few low scoring draws.
Current Week 5 record 00 (accuracy 50.00 % )

Last Week 4 record 610 (accuracy 37.5 % )

2014 MLS Predictions record 2241 (accuracy 34.92 % )

Picks and predictions are usually published here at least 1-2 hours before the game time.

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MLS Prediction Week 5 RESULTS

MLS Prediction Week 5 RESULTS

Sunday, April 6

Chivas USA vs. LA Galaxy 0-3

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Draw or Chivas USA to WIN CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

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Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders 4-4

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Montreal Impact vs. New York Red Bulls 2-2

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Impact to WIN

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union 2-2

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Fire to WIN CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC 0-2

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Crew to WIN CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids 1-2

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Whitecaps to WIN CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

D.C. United vs. New England Revolution 2-0

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals Saturday, April 5

Houston Dynamo vs. FC Dallas 1-4

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake 0-0

CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Saturday, April 5

Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC, 3 p.m.

The long-time rivals met in a pulsating Western Conference Semifinal Series a year ago, the Timbers winning 5-3 on aggregate, including a 3-2 second-leg win in Portland.
Portland’s first-leg win in the MLS Cup Playoffs was the club’s first ever in all competitions in Seattle since coming to MLS. Sounders FC have recorded the only road win in the all-time MLS series between the clubs, a 3-2 win July 10, 2011.
Sounders FC have suffered back-to-back home losses for the first time since May 12-23, 2012, when they lost games to Real Salt Lake and Columbus in successive starts in Seattle. The Sounders’ next three games are away from CenturyLink Field.
The Timbers have started the season winless in their first four games for a second straight season (0-1-3 last year; 0-2-2 in 2014). After the season-opening four-game winless run last year, the Timbers won their next two games and reeled off 13 games without a loss.

The Timbers are winless this year, and they would love to change that status vs Sounders, but that’s huge task. Expect, tough, physical match, but likely will ends with draw.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Montreal Impact vs. New York Red Bulls, 4 p.m.

The Impact put an end to their season-opening three-game losing skid, but still remain winless on the season after Marco Di Vaio’s first goal following a suspension to start the season gave them a 1-1 draw Saturday at Philadelphia Union.
The Red Bulls pulled back into a 1-1 tie for a third consecutive game when Peguy Luyindula scored five minutes into second-half stoppage time in Sunday’s draw with Chivas USA.
The Red Bulls won the last two meetings between the teams a season ago, both at Red Bull Arena. The Red Bulls have won all three home meetings with the Impact.

The Impact have won their last two home games vs. the Red Bulls, including a 1-0 win last March 23. The Red Bulls claimed the only road victory in the all-time series, a 2-1 win at Stade Saputo on May 19. 2012.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Impact to WIN

Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union, 5 p.m.

Union have won the last two meetings at Toyota Park, including a 1-0 victory last May 11 in the only encounter in Bridgeview.
The Fire have won each of the last two seasons at PPL Park, including a 2-1 win in the last meeting between the teams, last Aug. 3 in Chester.
Quincy Amarikwa scored his second goal of the season and Jhon Kennedy Hurtado scored his first MLS goal since 2009, leading the Fire back to a 2-2 result with D.C. United on Saturday afternoon at RFK Stadium – their third consecutive draw.
Union remained undefeated at home this season following a 1-1 draw with the Montréal Impact at PPL Park, as Vincent Nogueira scored his first MLS goal.

The Fire coach Frank Yallop, celebrating his 50th birthday this weekend, and something tells me that he will also celebrate his first victory as Chicago’ team manager.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Fire to WIN
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC, 6 p.m.

The Crew have now their first three games for the first time in club history, winning for a second successive trip to Seattle in a dramatic 2-1 win Saturday, as Justin Meram hit for the stoppage-time game-winner.
Toronto FC saw their undefeated start to the new season come to an end in a 3-0 loss at Real Salt Lake.
The Crew have lost to Toronto FC just twice in 19 meetings all-time. TFC’s 2-1 win last July 27 at BMO Field was their first since a 4-2 win Sept. 10, 2011 at Columbus Crew Stadium, which ended a 12-game TFC winless run vs. Columbus.
The Toronto FC victory last year was their first win ever against the Crew on their home ground, after three losses and five draws.

About a year ago that would be low key game, but this year this easily could be game of the week. The Crew are on fire, and they seem to be on the full speed. TFC got smashed last week in RSL 0-3, and I’m expecting similar result in Crew favor on Saturday. Michael Bradley, the TFC leader was heavily involved in USA vs Mexico 2-2 game on Wednesday, and has all the rights to be tired, plus travel to Ohio, different time zone, so don’t expect much from him either.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Crew to WIN
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids, 6:30 p.m.

The Rapids became the first team in MLS history to be awarded five penalty kicks over three games, when they won two spot kicks in their 3-2 loss to Sporting KC. All five Colorado goals this season have been scored as a result of the penalties – four from the spot kicks, and one from a rebound.
Just once before has a team won penalty kicks in four consecutive games – when the Rapids were awarded five penalty kicks over four contests from Sept. 27-Oct. 19, 2008 (converting three).
Kenny Miller scored his third goal of the season in bizarre circumstances – converting a penalty kick on a second chance after a first one (also converted) was ordered re-taken by referee Kevin Stott because of infringement in the penalty area – as Whitecaps FC took a 2-1 home win Saturday against Houston.
Whitecaps FC won their lone home meeting between the teams a season ago, a 3-0 win in the season finale on Oct. 27 at BC Place. The Rapids had won the first two meetings between the teams, both at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park.

Wonder if Rapids will get another penalty kick called this weekend. In last 3 games they converted all 5 penalties they got. Regardless of what the referee will call, outcome should be easy to predict. The Whitecaps, are effective at home and shouldn’t have problem defeating inconsistent Rapids. Likely we will see more than 2 goals at B.C. Place.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Whitecaps to WIN
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

D.C. United vs. New England Revolution, 7 p.m.

It took more than 360 minutes, but a Revolution player finally scored a goal when Lee Nguyen hit for the stoppage-time game-winner in the 2-1 win at San Jose on Saturday evening. The Revolution’s opening goal had come through an own goal.
United saw their winless streak extended to 15 games with their late 2-2 home draw with the Chicago Fire, now tied for the second-longest winless run in league history. The all-time record is 18 games, set by Real Salt Lake from Aug. 10, 2005-May 6, 2006.
The Revolution won the last two meetings between the clubs a year ago, snapping a four-game winless streak vs. United.
The Revolution won 2-1 at RFK Stadium last July 27, having now come away with a victory in the nation’s capital three of the last four seasons.

Eddie Johnson, D.C. United striker is under heavy pressure, and little frustrated after his goals vs Mexico was called off as offside. Will he score against Revolution? Revs are loaded with confidence, after their last week win in San Jose. The United, are hungry for points, but visitors not going to go down easy.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Houston Dynamo vs. FC Dallas, 8 p.m.

FC Dallas took the lone meeting between the clubs a year ago, a 3-2 win in Frisco on March 17, their first victory against the Dynamo since 2010. FCD went nearly three years and nine games without a win against their in-state rivals, until a win in 2009.
FC Dallas has won once all-time in Houston in 12 meetings in all competitions, the 1-0 victory at Robertson Stadium on May 5, 2010.
The Dynamo return home coming off their first defeat of the season, a 2-1 loss at Vancouver Whitecaps FC. The Dynamo have won both games at BBVA Compass Stadium and have yet to allow a goal on their home ground.
Mauro Díaz and Blas Pérez each scored their second goals of the season as FC Dallas extended their season-opening undefeated run to four games. It’s the first time since 2009 they’ve started the season unbeaten in four games, which is the club record, having done it now six times.

FC Dallas are the most productive team in MLS, they will likely score in Houston, but Dynamo coach Dominic Kinnear knows that, and his team will do what they can, to reduce to minimum visitors scoring chances. Will they succeed?
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Sporting Kansas City vs. Real Salt Lake, 8:30 p.m.

The teams of course met in MLS Cup 2014 last year, Sporting winning in a 10-round penalty shootout following a 1-1 draw over 120 minutes. Álvaro Saborío gave RSL the lead in the 52nd minute, but Aurélien Collin pulled SKC level in the 76th minute; Collin then converted the cup-winning penalty.
Sporting also won the lone league meeting between the teams a season ago, a 2-1 win July 20 at Rio Tinto Stadium. RSL haven’t won in Kansas City since 2009; their goal scored in the MLS Cup Final was their first-ever in three appearances all-time at Sporting Park.
Saborío has scored three goals in the last two games, netting twice in RSL’s 3-0 victory against Toronto FC on Saturday at Rio Tinto Stadium.
Dom Dwyer scored his second goal in as many games, leading Sporting to a second consecutive win in dramatic fashion Saturday, his stoppage-time long-range bomb the difference in a 3-2 win at Colorado.

Both teams, had their key players playing in USA vs Mexico 2-2 game on Wednesday, and even after they all disclosing how much they hate each other, I don’t expect big game in KC. Low scoring 0-0, or 1-1 draw, will probably do it for both.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: DRAW
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: UNDER 2.5 goals

Sunday, April 6

Chivas USA vs. LA Galaxy, 3 p.m.

Erick Torres has scored goals in each of the four Chivas USA games this season, and leads the MLS Golden Boot standings after converting a penalty kick in the 1-1 draw Sunday with New York. The Chivas USA record is six consecutive games with a goal, set by Juan Pablo Angel in 2007.
The Galaxy are playing just their third league match of the season – and just their second opponent. They return to action following a 1-1 draw at Real Salt Lake two weeks ago; they opened their MLS season with a 1-0 home loss to RSL on March 8.
The Galaxy won the final two meetings between the teams a season ago, and now have a five-game undefeated streak alive against their in-house rivals (4-0-1).
The Galaxy have won 10 of the last 12 league meetings, dating back to 2009. Chivas USA won 1-0 on May 19, 2012, their first victory against the Galaxy since Aug. 23, 2007, snapping an 11-game winless run in SuperClásicos.

2014 Chivas USA are not easy to play, plus Galaxy leader Landon Donovan is not 100% which was confirmed by USMNT coach Jurgen Klinsmann. The Galaxy centerback Omar Gonzales, did not had good game either. That means we should have close SuperClasico, with a high possibility of upset, means either draw or Chivas USA win.
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: Draw or Chivas USA to WIN
CHRIS’S PREDICTION: OVER 2.5 goals

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MLS Final Standings of 2013 season

MLS Final Standings of 2013 season

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CHRIS’s PICKS in 2014 season 2241 (accuracy 34.92 % ) in picking winner, draw or OVER / UNDER results.

MLS Picks 2014 record

MLS Picks 2014 record

2014 MLS season record 2241 (accuracy 34.92 % ).

Week 4 610

Week 3 612

Week 2 312

Week 1 77

MLS Picks 2010 - 2013 record

MLS Picks 2010 - 2013 record

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2013 season 211199 (accuracy 51.46 % )

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2012 season 187133 (accuracy 58.43 % )

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2011 season 159142 (accuracy 52.82 %)

CHRIS’s PICKS in 2010 season 9782 in entire 2010 MLS season (accuracy 54.19 %) in picking winner or OVER / UNDER results.

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